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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 May 12 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 133 Issued at 2200Z on 12 May 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (13 May, 14 May, 15 May).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 11-2100Z to 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 326 km/s at 11/2341Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 161 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (13 May, 14 May, 15 May).
III. Event Probabilities 13 May to 15 May
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       12 May 069
  Predicted   13 May-15 May 068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        12 May 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 11 May  007/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 12 May  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 13 May-15 May  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 13 May to 15 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm15%15%15%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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