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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 May 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 151 Issued at 2200Z on 30 May 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (31 May, 01 Jun, 02 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 431 km/s at 30/1703Z. Total IMF reached 14 nT at 30/0532Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at 30/0525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 217 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (31 May) and quiet levels on days two and three (01 Jun, 02 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 31 May to 02 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 May 070
  Predicted   31 May-02 Jun 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        30 May 070

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 May  004/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 May  010/011
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun  009/008-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 May to 02 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm25%15%15%
Major-severe storm20%05%05%

All times in UTC

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