Viewing archive of Monday, 15 June 2020
Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jun 15 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 167 Issued at 2200Z on 15 Jun 2020IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (16 Jun, 17 Jun, 18 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 14-2100Z to 15-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 377 km/s at 15/1101Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
15/0256Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
15/0819Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 145 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (16 Jun, 17 Jun)
and quiet levels on day three (18 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 16 Jun to 18 Jun
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 15 Jun 070 Predicted 16 Jun-18 Jun 070/070/070 90 Day Mean 15 Jun 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 14 Jun 003/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 15 Jun 006/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 16 Jun-18 Jun 008/008-009/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 16 Jun to 18 Jun
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 30% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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