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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 205 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jul 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (24 Jul, 25 Jul, 26 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 322 km/s at 23/1000Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 232 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (24 Jul, 26 Jul) and quiet to active levels on day two (25 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 24 Jul to 26 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Jul 070
  Predicted   24 Jul-26 Jul 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        23 Jul 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jul  005/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Jul  004/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Jul-26 Jul  007/008-011/012-008/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jul to 26 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%35%15%
Minor storm01%15%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%15%
Minor storm25%25%25%
Major-severe storm20%50%20%

All times in UTC

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