Viewing archive of Saturday, 25 July 2020

Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2020 Jul 25 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 207 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Jul 2020

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There is currently 1 numbered sunspot region on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (26 Jul, 27 Jul, 28 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24-2100Z to 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 394 km/s at 25/2032Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 24/2335Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at 24/2249Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 353 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (26 Jul, 28 Jul) and quiet levels on day two (27 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 26 Jul to 28 Jul
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       25 Jul 070
  Predicted   26 Jul-28 Jul 070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        25 Jul 069

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 24 Jul   NA/012
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 25 Jul  011/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 26 Jul-28 Jul  008/008-006/005-007/008

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Jul to 28 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm25%20%25%
Major-severe storm20%10%20%

All times in UTC

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