Viewing archive of Thursday, 18 November 2021

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Issued: 2021 Nov 18 1231 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 18 Nov 2021 until 20 Nov 2021
Solar flares

Quiet conditions (<50% probability of C-class flares)

Geomagnetism

Quiet (A<20 and K<4)

Solar protons

Quiet

10cm fluxAp
18 Nov 2021079009
19 Nov 2021078007
20 Nov 2021078007

Bulletin

The Sun produced no C flares in the past 24 hours. The chance for a C flare in the next 24 hours is estimated at 15%. A filament eruption near 10E45S – 10W35S was observed in SDO/AIA 30.4 nm imagery around 18h UT on November 17.

No Earth-directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) were observed in available coronagraphic imagery.

The greater than 10 MeV proton flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and may rise to moderate levels in the next 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was at nominal levels in the past 24 hours, and is expected to stay at nominal levels in the next 24 hours.

The solar wind speed as registered by DSCOVR decreased from about 580 to 545 km/s in the past 24 hours. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field near Earth (IMF) was predominantly oriented towards the Sun and its magnitude varied between about 0 and 6 nT. Bz was never below -5 nT. A gradual return towards nominal levels is expected in the next 24 hours.

Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic conditions (K-BEL between 1 and 3; NOAA Kp between 1 and 3) were registered in the past 24 hours. Quiet to unsettled geomagnetic levels (K-BEL < 4) are expected on November 18, 19 and 20, with a chance for active intervals (K-BEL = 4) on November 18.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 021, based on 17 stations.

Solar indices for 17 Nov 2021

Wolf number Catania034
10cm solar flux079
AK Chambon La Forêt016
AK Wingst014
Estimated Ap013
Estimated international sunspot number028 - Based on 16 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxEndLocStrengthOP10cmCatania/NOAARadio burst types
None

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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