Välja antud: 2013 Oct 12 1128 UTC
Active (M-class flares expected, probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
12 Oct 2013 | 132 | 010 |
13 Oct 2013 | 134 | 007 |
14 Oct 2013 | 134 | 016 |
Active conditions are expected to prevail for the next 48 hours, with risks of M class events from NOAA ARs 1861 and 1865. Both regions are magnetically complex enough for such class of flares, but somehow do not show anymore significant evolutions. Many C flares occurred in the past 24 hours related to these two regions. A noticeable one, a C6.2 event, occurred in AR 1865 on Oct. 11, 1228 UT peak time. It was associated with a CME, which is heading essentially eastward, compared to the Earth, and is therefore expected not to be geoeffective. We expect quiet geomagnetic conditions for the next 24-36 hours, and then unsettled to active conditions by the second half of Oct. 14, due a small coronal hole becoming geoeffective. Current interplanetary conditions are quiet.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 077, based on 10 stations.
Wolf number Catania | 167 |
10cm solar flux | 129 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 007 |
Estimated Ap | 006 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 092 - Based on 16 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | Lõpp | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Puuduvad |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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