Viewing archive of Monday, 5 August 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 05 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 05 AUG 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. REGION 7981 (S09W46) HAS DECAYED FURTHER. IT CONTINUES TO PRODUCE B-CLASS SUBFLARES. THE LARGEST IN THE PAST 24 HOURS WAS A B5/SF AT 05/1424Z.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 04-2100Z to 05-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED BECOMING MOSTLY QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 06 AUG to 08 AUG
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       05 AUG  074
  Predicted   06 AUG-08 AUG  072/070/068
  90 Day Mean        05 AUG  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 04 AUG  009/006
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 05 AUG  008/008
PREDICTED AFR/AP 06 AUG-08 AUG  008/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 06 AUG to 08 AUG
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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