Viewing archive of Saturday, 31 August 1996
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Aug 31 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 244 Issued at 2200Z on 31 AUG 1996IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. REGION 7986
(S13W26) PRODUCED A B5/SF AT 31/1547Z AND A LONG DURATION B8/SF
AT 31/1839Z. A SMALL REGION EMERGED NEAR N18E47 AND WAS NUMBERED
AS NEW REGION 7987.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT
A VERY LOW LEVEL. THERE IS A SLIGHT POSSIBILITY OF A C-CLASS
FLARE FROM REGION 7986.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD RANGED FROM QUIET TO ACTIVE LEVELS.
THE ACTIVE CONDITIONS OCCURRED BETWEEN 31/0600-1200Z.
ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT CONTINUED
AT MODERATE TO HIGH LEVELS. RECENT SOLAR WIND DATA INDICATE
THE CORONAL HOLE RELATED DISTURBANCE IS BEGINNING TO SUBSIDE.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS
FORECAST TO BE PREDOMINANTLY QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT
THREE DAYS. OCCASIONAL ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE DURING
LOCAL NIGHTTIME ON 01-02 SEP.
III. Event Probabilities 01 SEP to 03 SEP
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | GREEN | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 AUG 076 Predicted 01 SEP-03 SEP 073/072/072 90 Day Mean 31 AUG 071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 AUG 017/014 ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 AUG 013/013 PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 SEP-03 SEP 010/010-010/010-005/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 SEP to 03 SEP
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 20% | 15% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 20% | 10% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 05% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Wednesday, 9 October 2024
X1.8 solar flare, severe geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1639Space Weather Memes 569AR13883 2024/11/04 CME 45sun goes blank 72Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1209
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/11/06 | X2.39 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/13 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2024 | 166.4 +25 |
| November 2024 | 166 -0.4 |
| Last 30 days | 163.2 +18.4 |