Viewing archive of Sunday, 29 September 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Sep 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 273 Issued at 2200Z on 29 SEP 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET TO UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUX HAS BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS SINCE ABOUT 29/1330Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 30 SEP to 02 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 SEP  070
  Predicted   30 SEP-02 OCT  070/070/068
  90 Day Mean        29 SEP  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 28 SEP  019/017
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 29 SEP  010/013
PREDICTED AFR/AP 30 SEP-02 OCT  015/020-010/018-010/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 SEP to 02 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm20%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%25%25%
Minor storm30%20%15%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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