Viewing archive of Saturday, 26 October 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 300 Issued at 2200Z on 26 OCT 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. NO FLARES OCCURRED. NEW REGION 7992 (S13W29), A THREE SPOT 'CRO' GROUP, WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT MOSTLY QUIET LEVELS FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS, WITH THE EXCEPTION BEING A SINGLE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED CONDITIONS DURING THE INTERVAL 26/0000-0300Z. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX CONTINUED MODERATE TO HIGH.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO ACTIVE FOR THE NEXT TWO DAYS, AND FALLING OFF TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAY THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 27 OCT to 29 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 OCT  071
  Predicted   27 OCT-29 OCT  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        26 OCT  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 25 OCT  006/008
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 26 OCT  007/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 27 OCT-29 OCT  015/010-015/008-010/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 OCT to 29 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%20%10%
Minor storm20%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%20%10%
Minor storm20%15%05%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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