Viewing archive of Monday, 7 October 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Oct 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 281 Issued at 2200Z on 07 OCT 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW AS THE ENTIRE VISIBLE DISK AMD LIMB REMAIN FEATURELESS AND QUIET.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN AT QUIET LEVELS AT ALL LATITUDES FOR THE PAST 24 HOURS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN QUIET FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS, WITH ACTIVITY INCREASING TO QUIET TO UNSETTLED ON DAYS TWO AND THREE.
III. Event Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 OCT  068
  Predicted   08 OCT-10 OCT  068/068/068
  90 Day Mean        07 OCT  071
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 06 OCT  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 OCT  005/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 OCT-10 OCT  010/008-010/010-010/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 OCT to 10 OCT
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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