Viewing archive of Sunday, 3 November 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 03 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 308 Issued at 2200Z on 03 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE SOLAR DISK CON- TINUES TO BE SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 02-2100Z to 03-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX HAS BEEN AT HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE MOSTLY QUIET WITH OCCASIONAL UNSETTLED PERIODS OVER THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 04 NOV to 06 NOV
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       03 NOV  070
  Predicted   04 NOV-06 NOV  069/068/068
  90 Day Mean        03 NOV  070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 02 NOV  002/002
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 03 NOV  003/002
PREDICTED AFR/AP 04 NOV-06 NOV  005/005-010/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 04 NOV to 06 NOV
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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