Viewing archive of Saturday, 30 November 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Nov 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 335 Issued at 2200Z on 30 NOV 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 7999 (S04W61) CONTINUED TO PRODUCE SMALL SUBFLARES SINCE YESTERDAY'S M- CLASS ACTIVITY. THE REGION IS DECAYING SLOWLY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. C-CLASS FLARES ARE LIKELY. THERE IS A CHANCE OF ANOTHER SMALL M-CLASS FLARE BEFORE 7999 EXITS THE VISIBLE DISK.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 01 DEC to 03 DEC
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 NOV  088
  Predicted   01 DEC-03 DEC  085/082/080
  90 Day Mean        30 NOV  072
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED  AFR/AP 29 NOV  004/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 NOV  002/003
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 DEC-03 DEC  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 DEC to 03 DEC
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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