Viewing archive of Monday, 30 December 1996

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1996 Dec 30 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 365 Issued at 2200Z on 30 DEC 1996

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK REMAINS QUIET AND SPOTLESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS MOSTLY QUIET WITH ONE PERIOD OF UNSETTLED ACTIVITY AROUND 29/0300Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD.
III. Event Probabilities 31 DEC to 02 JAN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 DEC 073
  Predicted   31 DEC-02 JAN  072/072/072
  90 Day Mean        30 DEC 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 29 DEC  004/003
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 30 DEC  009/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 31 DEC-02 JAN  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 DEC to 02 JAN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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