Viewing archive of Saturday, 22 February 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Feb 22 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 053 Issued at 2200Z on 22 FEB 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE VISIBLE DISK IS CURRENTLY SPOTLESS AND FEATURELESS.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY LOW.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD HAS BEEN QUIET TO UNSETTLED AT ALL LATITUDES.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED WITH AN INCREASE TO ACTIVE LEVELS ON DAYS 2 AND 3 DUE TO RECURRENT ACTIVITY.
III. Event Probabilities 23 FEB to 25 FEB
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 FEB 074
  Predicted   23 FEB-25 FEB  073/073/073
  90 Day Mean        22 FEB 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 FEB  011/010
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 FEB  008/006
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 FEB-25 FEB  010/010-015/015-015/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 FEB to 25 FEB
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%25%
Minor storm05%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%25%30%
Minor storm10%15%15%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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