Viewing archive of Sunday, 23 March 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Mar 23 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 082 Issued at 2200Z on 23 MAR 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

THE DISK REMAINED SPOTLESS AND SOLAR ACTIVITY CONTINUED AT A VERY LOW LEVEL.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD CONTINUE AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS PREDOMINANTLY QUIET.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS FORECAST TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR 24 MAR. UNSETTLED TO ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ON 25-26 MAR AS A SMALL RECURRENT DISTURBANCE RETURNS.
III. Event Probabilities 24 MAR to 26 MAR
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 MAR 071
  Predicted   24 MAR-26 MAR  071/071/071
  90 Day Mean        23 MAR 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 22 MAR  010/009
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 23 MAR  004/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 24 MAR-26 MAR  010/010-013/013-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 MAR to 26 MAR
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%10%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%25%20%
Minor storm05%05%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%10%

All times in UTC

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