Viewing archive of Tuesday, 10 June 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Jun 10 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 161 Issued at 2200Z on 10 JUN 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY REMAINED VERY LOW. ONLY ONE SMALL REGION WITH A SINGLE SPOT WAS OBSERVED. A LATE REPORT WAS RECEIVED FROM THE MAUNA LOA CORONAGRAPH REGARDING AN ERUPTIVE PROMINENCE AT NW30-45 FROM 09/2000-2030Z. THIS EVENT WAS ACCOMPANIED BY A MODERATE DURATION B2 X-RAY ENHANCEMENT. A CORONAL MASS EJECTION WAS PROBABLE WITH THIS EVENT.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN AT A VERY LOW LEVEL FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED. ENERGETIC ELECTRON FLUXES AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT WERE BELOW EVENT THRESHOLD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS. THE EPL/CME MENTIONED ABOVE IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPACT THE EARTH.
III. Event Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 JUN 072
  Predicted   11 JUN-13 JUN  073/074/074
  90 Day Mean        10 JUN 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 09 JUN  025/033
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 10 JUN  007/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 11 JUN-13 JUN  005/008-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 JUN to 13 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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