Viewing archive of Sunday, 31 August 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Aug 31 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 243 Issued at 2200Z on 31 AUG 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8076 (N29W15) PRODUCED OCCASIONAL C-CLASS FLARES, THE LARGEST A C2/0F AT 1131Z. THE REGION CONSISTS OF MORE THAN 30 SPOTS AND MEASURES APPROXIMATELY 200 MILLIONTHS IN WHITE LIGHT. 8076 DOMINATES A COMPLEX OF REGIONS, OF WHICH 8078 (N21W20) IS THE SOUTHERN PARTNER. THIS EXTENDED GROUP HAS BASICALLY A SIMPLE NEUTRAL LINE, NOT APPEARING TO HAVE ANY STRONG MAGNETIC GRADIENTS. NEWLY NUMBERED REGION 8081 (N34E72) ROTATED INTO VIEW.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW, WITH REGION 8076 PROVIDING THE C-CLASS FLARES.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET TO MILDLY UNSETTLED. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GOES REACHED HIGH LEVELS.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST AT QUIET TO SLIGHTLY UNSETTLED LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
III. Event Probabilities 01 SEP to 03 SEP
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 AUG 096
  Predicted   01 SEP-03 SEP  096/096/094
  90 Day Mean        31 AUG 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 30 AUG  012/011
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 31 AUG  005/010
PREDICTED AFR/AP 01 SEP-03 SEP  005/008-005/006-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 SEP to 03 SEP
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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