Viewing archive of Sunday, 7 September 1997

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1997 Sep 07 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 250 Issued at 2200Z on 07 SEP 1997

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS LOW. REGION 8085 (S25E64) HAS ROTATED INTO VIEW AS A SMALL TO MODERATELY SIZED E-TYPE SUNSPOT GROUP. 8085 HAS ALREADY PRODUCED SEVERAL SUBFLARES INCLUDING THE LARGEST FLARE OF THE PAST DAY, A C3/SF AT 07/0620Z. REGION 8083 (S28E04) CONTINUES TO GROW BUT AT A REDUCED RATE FROM THE PREVIOUS COUPLE OF DAYS. REGION 8082 (N21W04) HAS STARTED TO DECAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. C-CLASS ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED IN REGION 8085. ADDITIONAL SUBFLARES ARE POSSIBLE IN REGIONS 8082 AND 8083 AS WELL. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF AN M-CLASS EVENT PREDOMINATELY FROM 8085.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX WAS NORMAL TO MODERATE.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 08 SEP to 10 SEP
Class M10%10%10%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 SEP 102
  Predicted   08 SEP-10 SEP  105/105/105
  90 Day Mean        07 SEP 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 06 SEP  008/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 07 SEP  005/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 08 SEP-10 SEP  005/008-010/012-010/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 SEP to 10 SEP
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%20%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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