Viewing archive of Monday, 1 June 1998

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1998 Jun 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 152 Issued at 2200Z on 01 JUN 1998

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS VERY LOW. THE TWO MAIN REGIONS: 8227 (N21W21) AND 8230 (S20E35) SHOWED VERY LITTLE CHANGE OR ACTIVITY DURING THE DAY. BOTH REGIONS HAVE "DSO-BETA" SPOT GROUPS. REGION 8227 PRODUCED A SF AT 01/0700Z WITH NO CORRELATED X-RAY ACTIVITY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE LOW. ISOLATED C-CLASS FLARES ARE POSSIBLE FROM REGIONS 8227 AND 8230.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 31-2100Z to 01-2100Z
GEOMAGNETIC ACTIVITY WAS QUIET. THE GREATER THAN 2 MEV ELECTRON FLUX AT GEOSYNCHRONOUS ORBIT EXCEEDED THRESHOLD LEVEL OF 1000PFU AT 01/1530Z AND HAS REMAINED ELEVATED FOR THE REST OF THE REPORTING PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET.
III. Event Probabilities 02 JUN to 04 JUN
Class M10%15%15%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 JUN 100
  Predicted   02 JUN-04 JUN  098/098/100
  90 Day Mean        01 JUN 108
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 31 MAY  004/007
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 01 JUN  005/007
PREDICTED AFR/AP 02 JUN-04 JUN  005/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 JUN to 04 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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