Viewing archive of Saturday, 26 May 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 May 26 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 146 Issued at 2200Z on 26 May 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 9468 (N06W02) continued to produce small C-class subflares, the largest being a C2/Sf at 25/2210 UTC. Other disk regions were relatively quiet. New Regions numbered include 9473 (N12E12), 9474 (N18E53), and 9475 (N17E71). All are small and magnetically simple.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low to moderate. An isolated low-level M-class flare remains possible from Region 9468. Additional C-class activity is likely.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 27 May to 29 May
Class M30%30%30%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 May 147
  Predicted   27 May-29 May  145/140/140
  90 Day Mean        26 May 169
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 May  006/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 May  008/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 May-29 May  015/015-010/015-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 May to 29 May
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%15%10%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%20%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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