Viewing archive of Wednesday, 11 July 2001

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2001 Jul 11 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 192 Issued at 2200Z on 11 Jul 2001

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been low. Two C-class flares occurred today: an optically uncorrelated C2 at 11/1711 UTC, and a C1/Sf at 11/0043 UTC from Region 9531 (S06W20). Three new regions were numbered today: 9536 (N11E40), 9537 (S07E39), and 9538 (N17E86).
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be at very low to low levels for the next three days.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 10-2100Z to 11-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet to unsettled levels.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to persist at quiet to unsettled levels for the next three days.
III. Event Probabilities 12 Jul to 14 Jul
Class M15%15%15%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       11 Jul 132
  Predicted   12 Jul-14 Jul  135/135/140
  90 Day Mean        11 Jul 158
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 10 Jul  007/011
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 11 Jul  006/009
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 12 Jul-14 Jul  008/010-008/010-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 12 Jul to 14 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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