Viewing archive of Friday, 9 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 09 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 160 Issued at 2200Z on 09 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in the last 24 hours. Region 892 (S06W02) remains beta-gamma and appears stable. Region 893 (S02E24) appears stable and is slowly decaying.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 08-2100Z to 09-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind velocity remains elevated at approximately 550 km/s, but is not producing enhanced geomagnetic activity. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next 3 days (10 - 12 June).
III. Event Probabilities 10 Jun to 12 Jun
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       09 Jun 078
  Predicted   10 Jun-12 Jun  078/078/078
  90 Day Mean        09 Jun 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 08 Jun  018/020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 09 Jun  012/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 10 Jun-12 Jun  007/010-007/010-007/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 10 Jun to 12 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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