Viewing archive of Saturday, 10 June 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jun 10 2204 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 161 Issued at 2200Z on 10 Jun 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Today's activity consisted of a single B-class flare from Region 892 (S07W14) at 1639Z. The region remains beta-gamma but appears stable and generally unchanged compared to yesterday. Region 893 (S02E10) has decreased somewhat in area.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 09-2100Z to 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The solar wind velocity remains somewhat elevated, but is decreasing steadily and has not enhanced geomagnetic activity. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next three days (11 - 13 June).
III. Event Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       10 Jun 076
  Predicted   11 Jun-13 Jun  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        10 Jun 082
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 09 Jun  009/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 10 Jun  010/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 11 Jun-13 Jun  007/010-007/010-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 11 Jun to 13 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%25%25%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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