Viewing archive of Saturday, 1 July 2006
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jul 01 2203 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2006IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z Solar activity continues at very low levels. Region 898
(S06E26) produced occasional B-class flares including a B9.8 at
01/0726Z. Region 897 (N06W12) continues to decay.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels with a small chance for a C-class flare from
Region 898.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet with isolated unsettled periods.
Solar wind speed slowly declined, ending the period near 400 km/s.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to range from quiet to minor storm levels over the next
three days. Expect quiet conditions on 02 July. A recurrent high
speed coronal hole stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective
position on 03 July and produce occasional active to minor storm
periods on both 03 and 04 July.
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Jul 086 Predicted 02 Jul-04 Jul 085/085/085 90 Day Mean 01 Jul 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun 007/008 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Jul 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul 005/005-015/020-015/020
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 10% | 40% | 40% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 15% | 15% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 50% | 50% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 25% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 15% | 15% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Sunday, 8 December 2024
X2.2 solar flare, SDO outage
Thursday, 21 November 2024
Major far side eruption, S1 radiation storm
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Latest forum messages
Strong far side CME 341Unexplained proton activity 10AR 13932 33Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1752Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1364
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/12/08 | X2.2 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/12/23 | M8.9 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/12/17 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| November 2024 | 152.5 -13.9 |
| December 2024 | 106.6 -45.9 |
| Last 30 days | 116.1 -41.8 |