Viewing archive of Monday, 7 August 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Aug 07 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to major storm conditions. Activity was due to a solar sector boundary crossing followed by a coronal hole high speed stream.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue to be quiet to active with minor storm periods possible at higher latitudes on 08 August. On 09 and 10 August, conditions are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Aug 070
  Predicted   08 Aug-10 Aug  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        07 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Aug  025/030
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug  012/015-008/010-008/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%20%20%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active30%25%20%
Minor storm15%10%10%
Major-severe storm05%01%01%

All times in UTC

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