Viewing archive of Monday, 29 October 2007

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2007 Oct 29 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 302 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Oct 2007

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. The visible disk remained spotless
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electrons at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels. The coronal hole high speed stream appears to be waning.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an isolated active period on day one (October 30). Days two and three (October 30 - November 1) are expected to be quiet to unsettled.
III. Event Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Oct 067
  Predicted   30 Oct-01 Nov  067/067/067
  90 Day Mean        29 Oct 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Oct  004/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Oct  008/010
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Oct-01 Nov  008/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Oct to 01 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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