Viewing archive of Friday, 14 November 2008
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Nov 14 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 319 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Nov 2008IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1008 (N33W53)
continues to be quiet and to decline.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low. There is a slight chance of a C-class flare from Region 1008.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels in the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with isolated unsettled conditions possible
during the forecast period.
III. Event Probabilities 15 Nov to 17 Nov
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Nov 068 Predicted 15 Nov-17 Nov 070/068/068 90 Day Mean 14 Nov 067
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Nov 002/001 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Nov 005/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Nov-17 Nov 007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Nov to 17 Nov
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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