Viewing archive of Wednesday, 26 November 2008

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2008 Nov 26 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 331 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Nov 2008

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. The visible disk was spotless.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions. Solar wind observations from the ACE spacecraft indicated a continued influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. Solar wind velocities reached a maximum of 651 km/s near the end of the period. The Interplanetary Magnetic Field (IMF) Bt ranged from +6 to -5.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 26 November. Quiet conditions should return on 26-27 November as the high speed solar stream subsides.
III. Event Probabilities 27 Nov to 29 Nov
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Nov 068
  Predicted   27 Nov-29 Nov  069/069/069
  90 Day Mean        26 Nov 068
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Nov  011/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Nov  010/012
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Nov-29 Nov  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Nov to 29 Nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active15%05%05%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active20%05%05%
Minor storm10%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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