Viewing archive of Sunday, 31 May 2009

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2009 May 31 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 151 Issued at 2200Z on 31 May 2009

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed during the past 24 hours. New Region 1019 (N27E41) formed on the disk and was classified as a Bxo beta spot group.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for 01-02 June. Quiet to unsettled levels, with isolated active conditions possible at high latitudes, are expected on 03 June
III. Event Probabilities 01 Jun to 03 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       31 May 069
  Predicted   01 Jun-03 Jun  070/070/070
  90 Day Mean        31 May 070
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 May  002/003
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 31 May  001/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 01 Jun-03 Jun  005/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Jun to 03 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%15%
Minor storm01%01%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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