Viewing archive of Thursday, 7 January 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jan 07 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 007 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Jan 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. New Region 1040 (N28E59) was numbered today. This region has produced low level B-class flares and is a beta magnetic classification.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated C-class flare from Region 1040.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominantly quiet for the next three days (08-10 January).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Jan to 10 Jan
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Jan 078
  Predicted   08 Jan-10 Jan  079/080/080
  90 Day Mean        07 Jan 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Jan  000/001
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Jan  001/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Jan to 10 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%00%

All times in UTC

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