Viewing archive of Sunday, 24 January 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jan 24 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 024 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jan 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels. Isolated low level B-flares were observed. Region 1041 (S24E23) and Region 1042 (N22W56) have shown little change and both remain a beta magnetic classification. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with an chance for C-class flares.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (25-27 January).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jan to 27 Jan
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Jan 085
  Predicted   25 Jan-27 Jan  085/086/087
  90 Day Mean        24 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jan  004/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Jan  004/004
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jan to 27 Jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm02%01%01%
Major-severe storm00%00%00%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%05%05%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm00%00%00%

All times in UTC

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