Viewing archive of Sunday, 24 January 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jan 24 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 024 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jan 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels. Isolated
low level B-flares were observed. Region 1041 (S24E23) and Region
1042 (N22W56) have shown little change and both remain a beta
magnetic classification. No new regions were numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels with an chance for C-class flares.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at quiet levels for the next three days (25-27
January).
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jan to 27 Jan
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 24 Jan 085 Predicted 25 Jan-27 Jan 085/086/087 90 Day Mean 24 Jan 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jan 004/004 Estimated Afr/Ap 24 Jan 004/004 Predicted Afr/Ap 25 Jan-27 Jan 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jan to 27 Jan
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 02% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 00% | 00% | 00% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 00% | 00% | 00% |
All times in UTC
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