Viewing archive of Monday, 29 March 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 29 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 088 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15W10) remains at a Beta magnetic classification. Region 1059 (S23E48) remains quiet and stable as an Alpha spot.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low with C-class flares likely and a slight chance for a M-class flare for the next 3 days (30 March - 01 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet with the possiblility for an isolated period of unsettled conditions for the next 3 days (30 March - 01 April).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
Class M15%15%15%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 Mar 083
  Predicted   30 Mar-01 Apr  082/082/082
  90 Day Mean        29 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar  004/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 Mar  005/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr  005/007-005/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active25%25%20%
Minor storm10%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active40%40%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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