Viewing archive of Monday, 29 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 29 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 088 Issued at 2200Z on 29 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1057 (N15W10)
remains at a Beta magnetic classification. Region 1059 (S23E48)
remains quiet and stable as an Alpha spot.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be low
with C-class flares likely and a slight chance for a M-class flare
for the next 3 days (30 March - 01 April).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet with the possiblility for an isolated period of
unsettled conditions for the next 3 days (30 March - 01 April).
III. Event Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
| Class M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 29 Mar 083 Predicted 30 Mar-01 Apr 082/082/082 90 Day Mean 29 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Mar 004/007 Estimated Afr/Ap 29 Mar 005/007 Predicted Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr 005/007-005/007-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 Mar to 01 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 40% | 40% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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