Viewing archive of Wednesday, 23 June 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jun 23 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 174 Issued at 2200Z on 23 Jun 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1082 (N26W52) produced isolated low-level B-class activity. At 23/1712Z, SOHO EIT-195 EUVI imagery observed a possible eruption along a filament channel centered near N40E50.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 22-2100Z to 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day one (24 June). Field activity is expected to increase to mostly unsettled levels, with isolated active periods, late on day two (25 June) and a slight chance of an isolated minor storm on day three (26 June). This increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream that is forecasted to become geoeffective.
III. Event Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       23 Jun 074
  Predicted   24 Jun-26 Jun  074/075/076
  90 Day Mean        23 Jun 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 22 Jun  005/006
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 23 Jun  003/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 24 Jun-26 Jun  005/005-008/008-015/015
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 24 Jun to 26 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active05%10%25%
Minor storm01%01%15%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%
B. High Latitudes
Active05%10%30%
Minor storm01%01%20%
Major-severe storm01%01%05%

All times in UTC

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