Viewing archive of Thursday, 24 June 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jun 24 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 175 Issued at 2200Z on 24 Jun 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1082 (N27W65) was quiet and stable.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels with a slight chance for an isolated C-class event through days one and two (25 - 26 June) as Region 1082 rotates around the limb.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 23-2100Z to 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet through late on day one (25 June). Field activity is expected to increase to unsettled to active levels, with a slight chance of isolated minor storm periods, the remainder of day one through day three (26 - 27 June). The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.
III. Event Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       24 Jun 074
  Predicted   25 Jun-27 Jun  075/076/077
  90 Day Mean        24 Jun 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 23 Jun  002/004
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 24 Jun  002/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 25 Jun-27 Jun  008/008-015/015-012/012
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 25 Jun to 27 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%25%20%
Minor storm01%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%30%25%
Minor storm01%20%15%
Major-severe storm01%05%05%

All times in UTC

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