Viewing archive of Wednesday, 14 July 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jul 14 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 195 Issued at 2200Z on 14 Jul 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1087 (N20E08) produced
two C-class events. The first was a C1 flare at 14/1230Z and the
second was a C3 flare at 14/2047Z. 1087 is a Dso group with a
beta-gamma magnetic configuration and has shown little change in
areal coverage and spot number during the last 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a slight chance for an isolated M-class event
from Region 1087.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 13-2100Z to 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The solar wind monitor on
the ACE spacecraft indicated a sector boundary crossing into a
positive sector at approximately 14/0900Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for isolated active periods
on day one (15 July) due to a coronal hole high speed stream. Quiet
conditions are expected to return on days two and three (16-17
July).
III. Event Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
| Class M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 14 Jul 078 Predicted 15 Jul-17 Jul 078/078/078 90 Day Mean 14 Jul 074
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 13 Jul 001/003 Estimated Afr/Ap 14 Jul 006/006 Predicted Afr/Ap 15 Jul-17 Jul 008/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 15 Jul to 17 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 30% | 05% | 05% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 05% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
Latest news
Monday, 11 November 2024
Coronal hole faces Earth
Friday, 1 November 2024
X2.0 solar flare
Wednesday, 9 October 2024
X1.8 solar flare, severe geomagnetic storm watch
Latest forum messages
Unspecified geomagnetic activity 1645Incoming & Unnumbered Active Regions 1210sun goes blank 76Space Weather Memes 571AR13883 2024/11/04 CME 45
More topicsSupport SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Sun's activity or if there is aurora to be seen, but with more traffic comes higher server costs. Consider a donation if you enjoy SpaceWeatherLive so we can keep the website online!
Space weather facts
| Last X-flare | 2024/11/06 | X2.39 |
| Last M-flare | 2024/11/13 | M1.7 |
| Last geomagnetic storm | 2024/11/10 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Spotless days | |
|---|---|
| Last spotless day | 2022/06/08 |
| Monthly mean Sunspot Number | |
|---|---|
| October 2024 | 166.4 +25 |
| November 2024 | 166 -0.4 |
| Last 30 days | 163.2 +18.4 |