Viewing archive of Friday, 30 July 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Jul 30 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region (1092) produced a few B-class x-ray flares. The largest of these was a B9 at 30/0221Z associated with a limb event CME visible off the northeast limb on LASCO C3 imagery as well as STEREO A and B coronagraphs.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is forecast to be very low to low with a chance for a C-class flare for the next 3 days (31 July-02 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet with an isolated period of unsettled conditions between 15-18Z. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet with a few isolated periods of unsettled conditions for the next 3 days (31 July-02 August).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Jul 085
  Predicted   31 Jul-02 Aug  085/085/085
  90 Day Mean        30 Jul 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul  005/007
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Jul  005/007
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug  005/006-005/006-005/006
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active30%30%30%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active40%40%40%
Minor storm10%10%10%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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