Viewing archive of Thursday, 26 August 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 26 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 238 Issued at 2200Z on 26 Aug 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z

Solar activity was very low during the past 24 hours. Region 1101 (N13E48) produced two low level B-class flares.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is forecast to be very low for the next 3 days (27-29 August).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 25-2100Z to 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged between quiet and active conditions during the past 24 hours. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was high throughout the period.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is forecast to be mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions on day 1 (27 August), returning to mostly quiet conditions on days 2 and 3 (28-29 August).
III. Event Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       26 Aug 073
  Predicted   27 Aug-29 Aug  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        26 Aug 077
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 25 Aug  015/020
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 26 Aug  012/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug  008/010-005/008-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 27 Aug to 29 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active40%20%20%
Minor storm10%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active50%30%20%
Minor storm20%10%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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