Viewing archive of Friday, 6 August 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 06 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 218 Issued at 2200Z on 06 Aug 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1093 (N12E45) produced a C1 flare at 2135Z. New region 1095 (S19E34) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for an isolated C-class flare from Regions 1093 and 1094 (N26W71).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 05-2100Z to 06-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was mostly quiet. An isolated unsettled period was observed at 06/0600Z.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled levels during the next three days (07 - 09 August).
III. Event Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       06 Aug 082
  Predicted   07 Aug-09 Aug  084/084/082
  90 Day Mean        06 Aug 075
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 05 Aug  007/010
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 06 Aug  007/008
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 07 Aug-09 Aug  007/008-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 07 Aug to 09 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%10%10%
Minor storm05%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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