Viewing archive of Saturday, 7 August 2010

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Aug 07 2201 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 219 Issued at 2200Z on 07 Aug 2010

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z

Solar activity was moderate. Region 1093 (N10E30) produced an M1/2f flare at 07/1824Z. Associated with this event were Tenflare signatures at 07/1827Z (110 sfu) and 07/1901Z (150 sfu) along with Type II (675 km/s) and Type IV radio sweeps.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with C-class flares likely from Region 1093 and 1095 (S18E19). A chance of M-class activity is possible from Region 1093.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 06-2100Z to 07-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
Geomagnetic field activity is expected to be mostly quiet with an isolated chance of unsettled levels during the next three days (08 - 10 August).
III. Event Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
Class M25%25%25%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       07 Aug 085
  Predicted   08 Aug-10 Aug  084/082/080
  90 Day Mean        07 Aug 076
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 06 Aug  006/008
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 07 Aug  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 08 Aug-10 Aug  005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 08 Aug to 10 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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