Issued: 2019 Mar 21 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Quiet (A<20 and K<4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
21 Mar 2019 | 077 | 004 |
22 Mar 2019 | 078 | 007 |
23 Mar 2019 | 081 | 007 |
There are two active regions on the visible solar disc. NOAA AR 2735 is decaying and has produced no activity in the past hours. On the other hand, the newly numbered NOAA AR 2736 (beta magnetic field configuration) has been more active producing numerous B-class flares and two C-class flares, the largest wass a C5.6 one peaking at 03:12 UT. This AR produced a faint CME yesterday directed mostly to the west, first seen at 18:24 UT on LASCO-C2, this CME is not expected to affect the Earth. Nevertheless, it had produced a larger CME earlier on March 20, first seen at 12:00 UT as an asymmetric full halo CME with the bulk of the material going to the northwest. Using LASCO-C2 and COR2 (beacon) images the speed of this CME was calculated to be 751 km/s, a flank of the CME is expected to hit the Earth on March 23.
Solar protons have remained at background levels over the past 24 hours.
The solar wind speed is at 350 km/s with interplanetary magnetic fields of 4 nT. Quiet conditions were observed in the past hours and the situation is not expected to change until the CME arrival on March 23.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 040, based on 18 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 077 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 009 |
AK Wingst | 005 |
Estimated Ap | 004 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 036 - Based on 22 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
All times in UTC
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