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Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Mar 01 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 60 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Mar 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 01-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Mar,
03 Mar, 04 Mar).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 557 km/s at 01/1506Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 28/2136Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
28/2313Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 216 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (02 Mar, 04
Mar) and quiet levels on day two (03 Mar).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Mar to 04 Mar
| Class M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 01 Mar 099 Predicted 02 Mar-04 Mar 105/105/105 90 Day Mean 01 Mar 105
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 28 Feb 005/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 01 Mar 008/010 Predicted Afr/Ap 02 Mar-04 Mar 008/008-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Mar to 04 Mar
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Minor storm | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Major-severe storm | 25% | 20% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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