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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 May 29 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 149 Issued at 2200Z on 29 May 2022

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (30 May, 31 May, 01 Jun).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 28-2100Z to 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 559 km/s at 29/1931Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 29/0937Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 29/0805Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 888 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (30 May) and quiet levels on days two and three (31 May, 01 Jun).
III. Event Probabilities 30 May to 01 Jun
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       29 May 098
  Predicted   30 May-01 Jun 100/100/100
  90 Day Mean        29 May 128

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 28 May  019/028
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 29 May  014/015
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun  009/010-007/008-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 30 May to 01 Jun
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%20%15%
Minor storm25%20%15%
Major-severe storm20%10%10%

All times in UTC

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