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Solar activity report

Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jul 01 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 182 Issued at 2200Z on 01 Jul 2022

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 366 km/s at 01/1151Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 01/2030Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 01/2007Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6971 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (02 Jul, 03 Jul, 04 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
Class M05%05%05%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       01 Jul 098
  Predicted   02 Jul-04 Jul 100/102/108
  90 Day Mean        01 Jul 126

V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 30 Jun  005/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 01 Jul  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 02 Jul-04 Jul  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 02 Jul to 04 Jul
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%10%10%
Minor storm01%01%01%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%15%15%
Minor storm20%20%20%
Major-severe storm10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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