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Solar activity report
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2022 Jul 02 2200 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 183 Issued at 2200Z on 02 Jul 2022IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (03 Jul,
04 Jul, 05 Jul).
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 01-2100Z to 02-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed reached a peak of 364 km/s at 02/0622Z. Total IMF
reached 13 nT at 02/1004Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached
-13 nT at 02/0403Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous
orbit reached a peak level of 2304 pfu.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and three (03 Jul, 05
Jul) and quiet levels on day two (04 Jul).
III. Event Probabilities 03 Jul to 05 Jul
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 02 Jul 100 Predicted 03 Jul-05 Jul 102/108/110 90 Day Mean 02 Jul 126
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 01 Jul 008/006 Estimated Afr/Ap 02 Jul 016/018 Predicted Afr/Ap 03 Jul-05 Jul 008/008-005/005-007/008
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 03 Jul to 05 Jul
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 25% | 10% | 25% |
| Minor storm | 10% | 01% | 10% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Minor storm | 30% | 20% | 30% |
| Major-severe storm | 40% | 10% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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