Viewing archive of Tuesday, 22 June 1999

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 1999 Jun 22 2200 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 173 Issued at 2200Z on 22 JUN 1999

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z

SOLAR ACTIVITY WAS MODERATE. AN M1/1N FLARE OCCURRED AT 22/1829Z, ORIGINATING FROM REGION 8592 (N24E30). ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FLARE WERE TYPE II (1400KM/S) AND IV RADIO SWEEPS AS WELL AS MULTI-FREQUENCY RADIO BURSTS INCLUDING A 760 SFU TENFLARE. THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WAS CHARACTERIZED BY NUMEROUS WEAK C-CLASS EVENTS, THE MAJORITY OF WHICH ORIGINATED FROM REGION 8599 (S16E64). NEW REGION 8600 (N19W22) WAS NUMBERED TODAY.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
SOLAR ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TO BE AT LOW TO MODERATE LEVELS FOR THE NEXT THREE DAYS.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 21-2100Z to 22-2100Z
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD WAS AT QUIET LEVELS THE ENTIRE PERIOD.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
THE GEOMAGNETIC FIELD IS EXPECTED TO BE QUIET TO UNSETTLED.
III. Event Probabilities 23 JUN to 25 JUN
Class M60%60%60%
Class X05%05%05%
Proton10%10%10%
PCAFGREEN
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       22 JUN 162
  Predicted   23 JUN-25 JUN  160/160/160
  90 Day Mean        22 JUN 138
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
OBSERVED AFR/AP 21 JUN  001/004
ESTIMATED AFR/AP 22 JUN  003/005
PREDICTED AFR/AP 23 JUN-25 JUN  005/005-010/010-010/013
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 23 JUN to 25 JUN
A. Middle Latitudes
Active10%20%20%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active15%25%25%
Minor storm05%05%05%
Major-severe storm01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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