Viewing archive of Sunday, 30 July 2006

Solar activity report

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2006 Jul 30 2203 UTC
Prepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com

Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity

SDF Number 211 Issued at 2200Z on 30 Jul 2006

IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z

Solar activity continued at very low levels again today. New Region 902 (S10W21) was numbered today.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to remain at very low levels.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 29-2100Z to 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is expected to range from unsettled to active conditions with minor storm periods possible. This activity is due to a coronal hole high speed stream moving into a geoeffective position during the forecast period (31 Jul to 02 Aug).
III. Event Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
Class M01%01%01%
Class X01%01%01%
Proton01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
  Observed       30 Jul 074
  Predicted   31 Jul-02 Aug  075/075/075
  90 Day Mean        30 Jul 078
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
  Observed Afr/Ap 29 Jul  003/005
  Estimated     Afr/Ap 30 Jul  005/005
  Predicted    Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug  010/012-015/015-008/010
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 31 Jul to 02 Aug
A. Middle Latitudes
Active20%25%20%
Minor storm10%15%10%
Major-severe storm01%05%01%
B. High Latitudes
Active25%30%20%
Minor storm15%15%10%
Major-severe storm05%05%01%

All times in UTC

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