Viewing archive of Wednesday, 31 March 2010
Solar activity report
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity 2010 Mar 31 2201 UTCPrepared by the NOAA © SWPC and processed by SpaceWeatherLive.com
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 090 Issued at 2200Z on 31 Mar 2010IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z Solar activity has been very low. Region 1057 (N16W35)
continues to decay, both in spot number and total area. No flares
were observed during the past 24 hours.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast
Solar activity is expected to be very
low with a slight chance of an isolated C-class event.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 30-2100Z to 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been quiet.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast
The geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the next three days (01-03 April).
III. Event Probabilities 01 Apr to 03 Apr
| Class M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Class X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Proton | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 31 Mar 081 Predicted 01 Apr-03 Apr 080/080/075 90 Day Mean 31 Mar 083
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 30 Mar 004/005 Estimated Afr/Ap 31 Mar 003/005 Predicted Afr/Ap 01 Apr-03 Apr 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 01 Apr to 03 Apr
| A. Middle Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. High Latitudes | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Active | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Minor storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Major-severe storm | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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