Issued: 2016 Feb 09 1230 UTC
C-class flares expected, (probability >=50%)
Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)
Quiet
10cm flux | Ap | |
---|---|---|
09 Feb 2016 | 113 | 017 |
10 Feb 2016 | 111 | 008 |
11 Feb 2016 | 110 | 005 |
The only C-class flare of the past 24 hours (the C1.0 flare peaking at 06:01 UT today) occurred in the NOAA H-alpha plage 2491 and was associated with a filament eruption in its northern part. Although the current SOHO/LASCO data is very scarce, this filament eruption seems to be associated only with a narrow CME. We expect flaring activity on the C-level in the coming hours, especially from the NOAA AR 2494 that has beta-gamma configuration of its photospheric magnetic field. The solar wind speed is currently around 420 km/s. The interplanetary magnetic field magnitude was elevated recently (up to 15 nT earlier this morning; around 10 nT now). NOAA reported active geomagnetic conditions (Kp = 4). Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions are expected in the coming hours.
Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 095, based on 08 stations.
Wolf number Catania | /// |
10cm solar flux | 115 |
AK Chambon La Forêt | 012 |
AK Wingst | 018 |
Estimated Ap | 018 |
Estimated international sunspot number | 093 - Based on 24 stations |
Day | Begin | Max | End | Loc | Strength | OP | 10cm | Catania/NOAA | Radio burst types | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
None |
Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive
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